High impact (H) - hidden when this box is ticked:
Checked from today through each contract's expiry, so a monthly contract is checked over its whole life, not just this week.
Shown in Events and Notes, not hidden: PCE and GDP (medium), special dividends (medium) and ordinary ex-dividend dates (low).
Company news with no set date - a pending FDA decision, merger vote, court ruling, share offering or investor day - is read from the week's headlines (Finnhub, judged by TypeSafe Jev) and written into Notes as NEWS. When the headlines say it lands within about two weeks it is (H) and this box hides it; when the timing is not stated it is (M), shown only. A news line quotes the headline it came from: read it, the judgment is a probability, not a fact. Anything the headlines missed can still go in events.csv.
Not here: earnings (their own column and filter).
Next high-impact dates: Jobs report (September) Fri Oct 2, CPI (September) Wed Oct 14, FOMC rate decision Wed Oct 28, Jobs report (October) Fri Nov 6.
Market-wide dates are complete through Dec 31, 2026; after that a contract reads unknown, never clear.
| Score | Ticker | Quality | Cat | Setup | Prem %/wk | Hits Tgt | Pick | 20-day | Px vs 20d | 5d Move | K vs 20d | Annual ROI | Weekly | Monthly | Delta | Strike | Premium | Credit | Collateral | Contracts | Your Credit | Assign Basis | Basis Disc | Cushion | Bull Upside | Fair Value | Source | Model FV | Val Gap | Entry Tgt | Basis vs FV | Analysis | Target | Anlst Ups | Recom | 52w Upside | 52w Pos | Stock | Beta | IV% | RV% | IV/RV | Sector | Earnings | Tier | Spread | Liquidity | Vol | DTE | Contract | Notes | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.28 | PBR | A | A | BOUNCE | 0.95% | MEETS | delta band | $20.87 | 0.5% | -0.9% | -6.6% | 53.33% | 1.03% | 4.10% | 0.23 | $19.50 | $0.32 | $32 | $1,950 | - | - | $19.18 | 8.5% | 7.0% | 183.9% | $54.45 | lynch (implausible) | $54.45 | 159.7% | $46.28 | 64.8% | model | $22.44 | 17.0% | 1.69 | 16.0% | 89% | $20.97 | 0.40 | 69.0% | 29.8% | 2.31 | Energy | unknown | Tier 2 | 6.3% | OK | 645 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); bounced off the 20-day ($20.87): a recent close reached it and price is up +1.5% over 2 sessions, now +0.5% above it; BOUNCE setup but the strike at $20.87 is a 0.48-delta contract, over the 0.45 ceiling - the stock is already through its 20-day, so that strike is at or in the money; lowest delta in 0.15-0.25 that still pays 0.80%/wk of the share price; No earnings date published - unknown, not clear; needs $1,950 - over your per-trade budget; fair value rejected as implausible - not scored | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 4.00 | SMCI | B | B | EXTENDED | 0.85% | MEETS | delta band | $39.67 | 5.5% | 1.0% | -4.2% | 48.75% | 0.94% | 3.75% | 0.20 | $38.00 | $0.57 | $57 | $3,800 | - | - | $37.43 | 10.5% | 9.2% | 161.7% | $97.95 | lynch (high) | $97.95 | 134.1% | $83.26 | 61.8% | model | $41.33 | 10.4% | 2.95 | 57.0% | 57% | $41.84 | 2.01 | 73.4% | 66.5% | 1.10 | Technology | 2026-11-02 | Tier 2 | 7.0% | OK | 219 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); +5.5% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-02, after expiry); needs $3,800 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.47 | NVDA | A | A | NEAR | 0.47% | under | delta band | $223.32 | 3.5% | 2.4% | -0.4% | 25.27% | 0.49% | 1.94% | 0.24 | $222.50 | $1.73 | $173 | $22,250 | - | - | $220.77 | 4.4% | 3.7% | 78.3% | $393.57 | lynch (low) | $393.57 | 70.3% | $334.54 | 43.9% | model | $333.47 | 51.0% | 1.21 | 7.1% | 92% | $231.04 | 2.22 | 33.8% | 26.7% | 1.27 | Technology | 2026-11-17 | Tier 1 | 4.6% | OK | 1,301 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); sitting +3.5% above the 20-day ($223.32) but not pulling back - 5-session move is +2.4%; pays 0.47%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-17, after expiry); needs $22,250 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.41 | DAL | B | B | NEAR | 0.88% | mid only | delta band | $80.86 | 3.7% | 2.6% | -2.3% | 48.75% | 0.94% | 3.75% | 0.24 | $79.00 | $1.19 | $118 | $7,900 | - | - | $77.81 | 7.2% | 5.8% | 121.1% | $172.07 | lynch (high) | $172.07 | 105.1% | $146.26 | 54.8% | model | $105.24 | 35.2% | 1.33 | 23.0% | 71% | $83.88 | 1.34 | 60.2% | 26.0% | 2.32 | Industrials | 2026-10-09 | Tier 2 | 31.2% | HOLD TO 80% | 213 | 9 | WEEKLY | NEWS (M): earnings/guidance date set, timing not stated - "What to Expect From Delta Air Lines’…NEWS (M): earnings/guidance date set, timing not stated - "What to Expect From Delta Air Lines’ Next Quarterly Earnings Report" (Yahoo 09-29); HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); sitting +3.7% above the 20-day ($80.86) but not pulling back - 5-session move is +2.6%; clears 0.80%/wk at the mid but only 0.75% at the bid you would actually be filled at; EARNINGS 2026-10-09 BEFORE EXPIRY; below 50-day; wide spread; needs $7,900 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.39 | MCHP | B | B | EXTENDED | 0.73% | under | delta band | $74.21 | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 39.87% | 0.77% | 3.07% | 0.23 | $75.00 | $0.92 | $92 | $7,500 | - | - | $74.08 | 6.5% | 5.4% | 54.3% | $114.32 | lynch (medium) | $114.32 | 44.2% | $97.17 | 35.2% | model | $110.26 | 48.8% | 1.55 | 43.0% | 54% | $79.25 | 1.76 | 53.8% | 34.1% | 1.58 | Technology | 2026-11-04 | Tier 3 | 76.1% | ILLIQUID | 12 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); +6.8% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; pays 0.73%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-04, after expiry); wide spread; needs $7,500 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.33 | QCOM | A | A | PRIME | 1.68% | MEETS | on the 20-day | $184.06 | 1.7% | -5.1% | 0.5% | 88.54% | 1.70% | 6.81% | 0.44 | $185.00 | $5.04 | $504 | $18,500 | - | - | $179.96 | 3.9% | 1.2% | -55.0% | $81.04 | lynch (high) | $81.04 | -56.7% | $68.89 | -122.1% | model | $196.73 | 9.3% | 2.65 | 44.4% | 47% | $187.25 | 1.65 | 50.6% | 54.7% | 0.92 | Technology | 2026-11-03 | Tier 1 | 15.1% | OK | 129 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); short-term pullback (-5.1% over 5 sessions) into the 20-day at $184.06 - price is +1.7% above it; strike sits ON the 20-day ($184.06); Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-03, after expiry); IV under realized vol; needs $18,500 - over your per-trade budget; trades 57% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.28 | GLW | B | B | BOUNCE | 1.94% | MEETS | on the 20-day | $154.42 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 101.80% | 1.96% | 7.83% | 0.44 | $155.00 | $4.86 | $486 | $15,500 | - | - | $150.15 | 4.0% | 0.9% | -27.8% | $108.42 | lynch (medium) | $108.42 | -30.6% | $92.16 | -38.5% | model | $190.50 | 26.9% | 1.61 | 81.0% | 41% | $156.34 | 1.12 | 57.6% | 69.5% | 0.83 | Technology | 2026-10-27 | Tier 1 | 13.0% | OK | 56 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); bounced off the 20-day ($154.42): a recent close reached it and price is up +3.1% over 2 sessions, now +1.2% above it; strike sits ON the 20-day ($154.42); Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-27, after expiry); IV under realized vol; needs $15,500 - over your per-trade budget; trades 31% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.25 | TGB | C | C | EXTENDED | 0.76% | under | delta band | $8.56 | 4.1% | -1.7% | -6.6% | 43.75% | 0.84% | 3.37% | 0.21 | $8.00 | $0.17 | $18 | $800 | - | - | $7.83 | 12.2% | 10.2% | 131.2% | $18.10 | lynch (low) | $18.10 | 103.1% | $15.38 | 56.8% | model | $9.78 | 25.0% | 1.22 | 25.5% | 85% | $8.91 | 1.41 | 71.7% | 59.5% | 1.20 | Basic Materials | unknown | Tier 3 | 62.9% | ILLIQUID | 21 | 16 | MONTHLY | MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE…MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H); +4.1% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; pays 0.76%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; No earnings date published - unknown, not clear; wide spread | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02…PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H) |
| 3.23 | NOW | B | B | BELOW | 0.72% | under | delta band | $136.56 | -4.4% | -7.3% | -9.9% | 39.90% | 0.77% | 3.07% | 0.23 | $123.00 | $1.51 | $151 | $12,300 | - | - | $121.49 | 6.9% | 5.7% | -16.8% | $101.07 | lynch (high) | $101.07 | -22.6% | $85.91 | -20.2% | model | $145.87 | 20.1% | 1.36 | 58.8% | 44% | $130.50 | 0.99 | 53.5% | 49.0% | 1.09 | Technology | 2026-10-28 | Tier 1 | 7.9% | OK | 35 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); -4.4% BELOW the 20-day - the average is overhead resistance now, not support; pays 0.72%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-28, after expiry); needs $12,300 - over your per-trade budget; trades 23% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.18 | BB | B | B | EXTENDED | 0.70% | under | delta band | $8.10 | 10.2% | 6.3% | -1.2% | 40.62% | 0.78% | 3.12% | 0.17 | $8.00 | $0.10 | $10 | $800 | - | - | $7.90 | 11.4% | 10.3% | -61.6% | $3.03 | lynch (low) | $3.03 | -66.0% | $2.58 | -160.7% | model | $10.60 | 34.2% | 2.60 | 72.0% | 55% | $8.92 | 2.21 | 74.6% | 50.3% | 1.48 | Technology | unknown | Tier 3 | 60.0% | ILLIQUID | 125 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); +10.2% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; pays 0.70%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; No earnings date published - unknown, not clear; wide spread; trades 66% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.16 | HPE | B | B | EXTENDED | 0.93% | mid only | delta band | $59.07 | 10.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 51.95% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 0.23 | $61.00 | $0.97 | $98 | $6,100 | - | - | $60.02 | 8.1% | 6.6% | 91.4% | $114.88 | lynch (medium) | $114.88 | 75.8% | $97.65 | 47.7% | model | $69.37 | 15.6% | 1.93 | 9.4% | 99% | $65.33 | 1.41 | 66.3% | 81.0% | 0.82 | Technology | 2026-12-02 | Tier 2 | 44.1% | HOLD TO 80% | 39 | 9 | WEEKLY | NEWS (M): investor day scheduled, timing not stated - "Will HPE Investor Day Put AMD AI Opportunity…NEWS (M): investor day scheduled, timing not stated - "Will HPE Investor Day Put AMD AI Opportunity In Spotlight?" (Yahoo 09-29); HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); +10.6% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; clears 0.80%/wk at the mid but only 0.73% at the bid you would actually be filled at; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-12-02, after expiry); IV under realized vol; wide spread; needs $6,100 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.13 | PLTR | A | A | EXTENDED | 0.58% | under | delta band | $178.95 | 5.7% | -1.3% | -0.8% | 32.13% | 0.62% | 2.47% | 0.21 | $177.50 | $1.75 | $176 | $17,750 | - | - | $175.75 | 7.1% | 6.2% | -67.4% | $57.24 | lynch (low) | $57.24 | -69.8% | $48.65 | -207.0% | model | $202.69 | 15.3% | 1.89 | 18.1% | 82% | $189.23 | 1.60 | 48.5% | 46.1% | 1.05 | Technology | 2026-11-02 | Tier 1 | 6.3% | OK | 346 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); +5.7% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; pays 0.58%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-02, after expiry); needs $17,750 - over your per-trade budget; trades 70% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.09 | AXTI | C | C | EXTENDED | 0.95% | mid only | delta band | $68.84 | 16.8% | 10.2% | 0.2% | 57.46% | 1.11% | 4.42% | 0.16 | $69.00 | $1.22 | $122 | $6,900 | - | - | $67.78 | 15.7% | 14.2% | -18.3% | $55.39 | lynch (low) | $55.39 | -31.1% | $47.08 | -22.4% | model | $95.03 | 40.2% | 1.33 | 111.2% | 55% | $80.39 | 1.86 | 104.7% | 106.8% | 0.98 | Technology | 2026-10-29 | Tier 3 | 49.2% | HOLD TO 80% | 7 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); +16.8% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; clears 0.80%/wk at the mid but only 0.72% at the bid you would actually be filled at; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-29, after expiry); IV under realized vol; wide spread; needs $6,900 - over your per-trade budget; trades 31% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 3.04 | FRSH | B | B | BOUNCE | 1.51% | mid only | on the 20-day | $12.55 | 0.7% | -1.8% | -0.4% | 79.20% | 1.52% | 6.09% | 0.44 | $12.50 | $0.49 | $50 | $1,250 | - | - | $12.01 | 5.0% | 1.1% | -2.1% | $11.75 | lynch (high) | $11.75 | -7.0% | $9.99 | -2.2% | model | $14.64 | 21.9% | 2.05 | 16.5% | 81% | $12.64 | 0.90 | 53.9% | 40.5% | 1.33 | Technology | 2026-11-03 | Tier 3 | 131.3% | ILLIQUID | 1 | 16 | MONTHLY | MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE…MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H); bounced off the 20-day ($12.55): a recent close reached it and price is up +0.8% over 2 sessions, now +0.7% above it; strike sits ON the 20-day ($12.55); clears 0.80%/wk at the mid but only 0.52% at the bid you would actually be filled at; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-03, after expiry); wide spread; trades 7% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02…PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H) |
| 3.02 | FAST | A | A | PRIME | 0.57% | under | outside band | $49.58 | 0.7% | -2.1% | -4.2% | 31.37% | 0.60% | 2.41% | 0.26 | $47.50 | $0.74 | $74 | $4,750 | - | - | $46.76 | 6.4% | 4.9% | -58.0% | $19.64 | lynch (high) | $19.64 | -60.7% | $16.69 | -138.1% | model | $49.58 | 6.0% | 2.95 | 13.2% | 79% | $49.95 | 0.69 | 42.8% | 16.4% | 2.61 | Industrials | 2026-10-14 | Tier 1 | 20.1% | OK | 2 | 16 | MONTHLY | NEWS (M): earnings/guidance date set, timing not stated - "Fastenal Company Announces Conference…NEWS (M): earnings/guidance date set, timing not stated - "Fastenal Company Announces Conference Call to Review 2026 Third Quarter Earnings" (Yahoo 09-28); MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H); short-term pullback (-2.1% over 5 sessions) into the 20-day at $49.58 - price is +0.7% above it; PRIME setup but the strike at $49.58 is a 0.48-delta contract, over the 0.45 ceiling - the stock is already through its 20-day, so that strike is at or in the money; nothing quoted between delta 0.15 and 0.25 (chain ran 0.13 to 0.48) - showing the closest to delta 0.20 instead; pays 0.57%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; EARNINGS 2026-10-14 BEFORE EXPIRY; needs $4,750 - over your per-trade budget; trades 61% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02…PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H) |
| 2.96 | ASX | B | B | EXTENDED | 0.58% | under | delta band | $41.03 | 8.9% | 1.7% | -2.5% | 33.50% | 0.64% | 2.58% | 0.18 | $40.00 | $0.67 | $67 | $4,000 | - | - | $39.33 | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | $44.20 | lynch (low) | $44.20 | -1.1% | $37.57 | 11.0% | model | $51.00 | 29.7% | 1.00 | 16.3% | 97% | $44.70 | 1.67 | 66.5% | 50.1% | 1.33 | Technology | unknown | Tier 3 | 74.6% | ILLIQUID | 46 | 16 | MONTHLY | MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE…MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H); +8.9% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; pays 0.58%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; No earnings date published - unknown, not clear; wide spread; needs $4,000 - over your per-trade budget; trades 1% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02…PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H) |
| 2.95 | UMC | A | A | EXTENDED | 0.55% | under | delta band | $23.13 | 6.6% | -0.1% | -4.9% | 31.82% | 0.61% | 2.45% | 0.18 | $22.00 | $0.35 | $35 | $2,200 | - | - | $21.65 | 12.2% | 10.8% | 30.3% | $28.20 | lynch (medium) | $28.20 | 14.4% | $23.97 | 23.2% | model | $13.40 | -38.1% | 3.60 | 33.8% | 80% | $24.66 | 1.52 | 64.7% | 52.8% | 1.22 | Technology | unknown | Tier 3 | 68.6% | ILLIQUID | 11 | 16 | MONTHLY | MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE…MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H); +6.6% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; pays 0.55%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; No earnings date published - unknown, not clear; wide spread; needs $2,200 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02…PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H) |
| 2.94 | STM | C | C | NEAR | 0.59% | under | delta band | $51.14 | 4.0% | 1.3% | -2.2% | 32.50% | 0.62% | 2.50% | 0.21 | $50.00 | $0.50 | $50 | $5,000 | - | - | $49.50 | 6.9% | 5.9% | 36.7% | $67.66 | lynch (low) | $67.66 | 27.3% | $57.51 | 26.8% | model | $78.38 | 58.3% | 1.68 | 64.5% | 53% | $53.16 | 1.97 | 49.3% | 37.0% | 1.33 | Technology | unknown | Tier 3 | 132.0% | ILLIQUID | 24 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); sitting +4.0% above the 20-day ($51.14) but not pulling back - 5-session move is +1.3%; pays 0.59%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; No earnings date published - unknown, not clear; wide spread; needs $5,000 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.93 | TAL | B | B | BOUNCE | 1.06% | mid only | outside band | $11.87 | 0.6% | -0.3% | 1.1% | 55.00% | 1.06% | 4.23% | 0.51 | $12.00 | $0.33 | $33 | $1,200 | - | - | $11.67 | 2.3% | -0.5% | 86.0% | $21.71 | lynch (low) | $21.71 | 81.8% | $18.45 | 46.2% | model | $16.75 | 43.5% | 1.47 | 14.6% | 68% | $11.94 | 0.09 | 31.0% | 30.7% | 1.01 | Consumer Defensive | 2026-10-28 | Tier 3 | 121.2% | ILLIQUID | 1 | 16 | MONTHLY | MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE…MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H); bounced off the 20-day ($11.87): a recent close reached it and price is up +0.4% over 2 sessions, now +0.6% above it; BOUNCE setup but the strike at $11.87 is a 0.51-delta contract, over the 0.45 ceiling - the stock is already through its 20-day, so that strike is at or in the money; nothing quoted between delta 0.15 and 0.25 (chain ran 0.51 to 0.51) - showing the closest to delta 0.20 instead; clears 0.80%/wk at the mid but only 0.42% at the bid you would actually be filled at; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-28, after expiry); wide spread | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02…PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H) |
| 2.88 | CRM | B | B | BELOW | 0.48% | under | delta band | $243.53 | -6.9% | -4.6% | -11.7% | 26.45% | 0.51% | 2.03% | 0.20 | $215.00 | $1.75 | $175 | $21,500 | - | - | $213.25 | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.1% | $232.59 | lynch (high) | $232.59 | 2.6% | $197.70 | 8.3% | model | $282.78 | 32.6% | 1.75 | 26.2% | 65% | $226.68 | 1.26 | 42.2% | 33.2% | 1.27 | Technology | 2026-12-01 | Tier 1 | 20.6% | OK | 50 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); -6.9% BELOW the 20-day - the average is overhead resistance now, not support; pays 0.48%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-12-01, after expiry); needs $21,500 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.83 | AMZN | B | B | BELOW | 0.35% | under | delta band | $252.23 | -2.1% | -1.0% | -5.8% | 18.75% | 0.36% | 1.44% | 0.20 | $237.50 | $1.37 | $137 | $23,750 | - | - | $236.13 | 4.3% | 3.8% | 10.5% | $261.00 | lynch (high) | $261.00 | 5.7% | $221.85 | 9.5% | model | $330.94 | 40.2% | 1.22 | 21.6% | 56% | $246.82 | 1.46 | 31.1% | 20.4% | 1.53 | Consumer Cyclical | 2026-10-29 | Tier 1 | 4.4% | OK | 188 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); -2.1% BELOW the 20-day - the average is overhead resistance now, not support; pays 0.35%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-29, after expiry); below 50-day; needs $23,750 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.79 | GME | A | A | EXTENDED | 0.73% | under | delta band | $22.01 | 12.7% | 2.4% | 6.8% | 40.11% | 0.77% | 3.09% | 0.24 | $23.50 | $0.29 | $29 | $2,350 | - | - | $23.21 | 6.4% | 5.2% | -35.9% | $14.88 | lynch (medium) | $14.88 | -40.0% | $12.65 | -56.0% | model | $13.50 | -41.8% | 3.00 | 21.1% | 68% | $24.79 | 1.63 | 51.2% | 43.2% | 1.18 | Consumer Cyclical | 2026-12-07 | Tier 3 | 82.8% | ILLIQUID | 356 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); +12.7% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; pays 0.73%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-12-07, after expiry); wide spread; needs $2,350 - over your per-trade budget; trades 40% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.76 | SHOP | B | B | EXTENDED | 0.87% | mid only | delta band | $137.81 | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 47.82% | 0.92% | 3.68% | 0.25 | $140.00 | $2.06 | $206 | $14,000 | - | - | $137.94 | 7.2% | 5.9% | -55.1% | $61.91 | lynch (medium) | $61.91 | -58.4% | $52.63 | -122.8% | model | $174.06 | 26.2% | 1.64 | 32.1% | 62% | $148.72 | 2.63 | 57.5% | 57.4% | 1.00 | Technology | 2026-10-22 | Tier 2 | 47.6% | HOLD TO 80% | 30 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); +7.9% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; clears 0.80%/wk at the mid but only 0.66% at the bid you would actually be filled at; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-22, after expiry); wide spread; needs $14,000 - over your per-trade budget; trades 58% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.74 | APH | B | B | EXTENDED | 0.50% | under | delta band | $81.44 | 4.6% | 3.6% | -1.8% | 27.50% | 0.53% | 2.12% | 0.23 | $80.00 | $1.10 | $110 | $8,000 | - | - | $78.90 | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | $81.77 | lynch (medium) | $81.77 | -4.0% | $69.51 | 3.5% | model | $100.72 | 27.7% | 1.46 | 13.1% | 86% | $85.14 | 1.24 | 44.3% | 36.8% | 1.20 | Technology | 2026-10-28 | Tier 2 | 32.7% | HOLD TO 80% | 138 | 16 | MONTHLY | MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE…MONTHLY CONTRACT - no weekly this week, 16 days to expiry; HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H); +4.6% above the 20-day - too far for a strike at the average; pays 0.50%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-28, after expiry); wide spread; needs $8,000 - over your per-trade budget; trades 4% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02…PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CPI (September) 10-14 (H) |
| 2.74 | XOM | B | B | NEAR | 0.46% | under | delta band | $162.68 | 0.0% | 0.9% | -3.2% | 24.56% | 0.47% | 1.89% | 0.24 | $157.50 | $1.19 | $119 | $15,750 | - | - | $156.31 | 3.9% | 3.2% | 19.9% | $187.39 | lynch (high) | $187.39 | 15.2% | $159.28 | 16.6% | model | $172.91 | 10.6% | 2.34 | 12.9% | 79% | $162.72 | 0.21 | 32.7% | 23.8% | 1.38 | Energy | 2026-10-23 | Tier 2 | 45.4% | HOLD TO 80% | 122 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); sitting +0.0% above the 20-day ($162.68) but not pulling back - 5-session move is +0.9%; pays 0.46%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-23, after expiry); wide spread; needs $15,750 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.72 | FCX | B | B | UNDER | 0.53% | under | delta band | $72.11 | -1.0% | -1.6% | -7.1% | 29.35% | 0.56% | 2.26% | 0.19 | $67.00 | $0.60 | $60 | $6,700 | - | - | $66.39 | 7.0% | 6.1% | 51.2% | $100.41 | lynch (medium) | $100.41 | 40.7% | $85.35 | 33.9% | model | $74.73 | 12.6% | 1.62 | 20.9% | 79% | $71.36 | 1.39 | 48.7% | 37.8% | 1.29 | Basic Materials | 2026-10-15 | Tier 3 | 71.1% | ILLIQUID | 164 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); slipped -1.0% under the 20-day ($72.11) and not coming back up yet (-0.8% over 2 sessions) - wait for the turn; pays 0.53%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-15, after expiry); wide spread; needs $6,700 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.50 | MRK | C | C | NEAR | 0.41% | under | delta band | $147.89 | 0.2% | 0.0% | -2.6% | 22.01% | 0.42% | 1.69% | 0.24 | $144.00 | $0.98 | $98 | $14,400 | - | - | $143.03 | 3.5% | 2.8% | -46.8% | $76.03 | lynch (high) | $76.03 | -48.7% | $64.62 | -88.1% | model | $154.76 | 8.2% | 1.81 | 9.7% | 89% | $148.16 | 0.22 | 28.4% | 16.9% | 1.68 | Healthcare | 2026-10-29 | Tier 3 | 81.0% | ILLIQUID | 33 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); sitting +0.2% above the 20-day ($147.89) but not pulling back - 5-session move is +0.0%; pays 0.41%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-29, after expiry); wide spread; needs $14,400 - over your per-trade budget; trades 49% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.48 | DVN | B | B | BELOW | 0.58% | under | delta band | $48.45 | -3.5% | -2.7% | -7.1% | 31.06% | 0.60% | 2.39% | 0.25 | $45.00 | $0.43 | $43 | $4,500 | - | - | $44.57 | 4.6% | 3.7% | 70.1% | $75.82 | lynch (high) | $75.82 | 62.3% | $64.45 | 41.2% | model | $60.86 | 36.5% | 1.34 | 18.3% | 72% | $46.73 | 0.52 | 38.3% | 31.9% | 1.20 | Energy | 2026-11-03 | Tier 3 | 134.9% | ILLIQUID | 4 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); -3.5% BELOW the 20-day - the average is overhead resistance now, not support; pays 0.58%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-03, after expiry); below 50-day; wide spread; needs $4,500 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.44 | PFE | B | B | NEAR | 0.26% | under | delta band | $28.11 | 1.9% | 1.7% | -2.2% | 14.18% | 0.27% | 1.09% | 0.17 | $27.50 | $0.12 | $12 | $2,750 | - | - | $27.38 | 4.4% | 4.0% | - | - | n/a - no earnings | - | - | - | - | model | $28.57 | 4.3% | 2.54 | 6.7% | 90% | $28.64 | 0.28 | 28.7% | 13.4% | 2.14 | Healthcare | 2026-11-02 | Tier 3 | 83.3% | ILLIQUID | 43 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); sitting +1.9% above the 20-day ($28.11) but not pulling back - 5-session move is +1.7%; pays 0.26%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-02, after expiry); wide spread; needs $2,750 - over your per-trade budget; no fair value (model had no earnings to work with) | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.39 | NEM | B | B | BELOW | 0.53% | under | delta band | $123.79 | -5.5% | -5.2% | -9.5% | 28.87% | 0.56% | 2.22% | 0.23 | $112.00 | $0.99 | $99 | $11,200 | - | - | $111.00 | 5.2% | 4.3% | 94.9% | $216.33 | lynch (high) | $216.33 | 84.8% | $183.88 | 48.7% | model | $140.53 | 26.6% | 1.60 | 21.9% | 69% | $117.04 | 0.53 | 39.5% | 34.4% | 1.15 | Basic Materials | 2026-10-22 | Tier 3 | 129.6% | ILLIQUID | 8 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); -5.5% BELOW the 20-day - the average is overhead resistance now, not support; pays 0.53%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-22, after expiry); below 50-day; wide spread; needs $11,200 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.37 | CNQ | B | B | BELOW | 0.49% | under | delta band | $49.51 | -3.7% | 0.1% | -7.1% | 26.14% | 0.50% | 2.01% | 0.23 | $46.00 | $0.37 | $37 | $4,600 | - | - | $45.63 | 4.3% | 3.5% | 32.6% | $60.51 | lynch (high) | $60.51 | 26.9% | $51.43 | 24.6% | model | $52.46 | 15.0% | 2.38 | 14.6% | 80% | $47.67 | 0.56 | 35.1% | 21.2% | 1.65 | Energy | unknown | Tier 3 | 135.1% | ILLIQUID | 4,517 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); -3.7% BELOW the 20-day - the average is overhead resistance now, not support; pays 0.49%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; No earnings date published - unknown, not clear; below 50-day; wide spread; needs $4,600 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.36 | CSCO | B | B | RECLAIM | 0.52% | under | delta band | $108.63 | -0.8% | 1.3% | -4.3% | 27.97% | 0.54% | 2.15% | 0.25 | $104.00 | $0.90 | $90 | $10,400 | - | - | $103.11 | 4.3% | 3.5% | -29.4% | $72.80 | lynch (high) | $72.80 | -32.5% | $61.88 | -41.6% | model | $138.43 | 34.3% | 1.81 | 26.4% | 64% | $107.79 | 0.98 | 34.8% | 28.0% | 1.24 | Technology | 2026-11-10 | Tier 3 | 77.1% | ILLIQUID | 16 | 9 | WEEKLY | COMPANY EVENT: ex-dividend $0.42 (0.4% of price) 10-02 (L); HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE…COMPANY EVENT: ex-dividend $0.42 (0.4% of price) 10-02 (L); HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CSCO ex-dividend $0.42 (0.4% of price) 10-02 (L); slipped -0.8% under the 20-day ($108.63) and is coming back up (+1.0% over 2 sessions) - a strike ON the average would be in the money; RECLAIM setup but the strike at $108.63 is a 0.57-delta contract, over the 0.45 ceiling - the stock is already through its 20-day, so that strike is at or in the money; NOTHING in 0.15-0.25 paid 0.80%/wk; took the most aggressive strike in the band at 0.52%; pays 0.52%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-10, after expiry); below 50-day; wide spread; needs $10,400 - over your per-trade budget; trades 32% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02…PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); CSCO ex-dividend $0.42 (0.4% of price) 10-02 (L) |
| 2.35 | SHEL | B | B | NEAR | 0.33% | under | delta band | $95.20 | 0.0% | -0.2% | -3.4% | 17.84% | 0.34% | 1.37% | 0.20 | $92.00 | $0.51 | $50 | $9,200 | - | - | $91.50 | 3.9% | 3.4% | 89.3% | $173.24 | lynch (high) | $173.24 | 81.9% | $147.25 | 47.2% | model | $104.99 | 14.7% | 2.16 | 8.4% | 87% | $95.22 | 0.09 | 29.0% | 21.0% | 1.38 | Energy | unknown | Tier 3 | 148.5% | ILLIQUID | 4 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); sitting +0.0% above the 20-day ($95.20) but not pulling back - 5-session move is -0.2%; pays 0.33%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; No earnings date published - unknown, not clear; wide spread; needs $9,200 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.25 | BULL | B | B | BELOW | 1.80% | MEETS | outside band | $8.37 | -15.1% | -7.1% | -16.4% | 95.18% | 1.83% | 7.32% | 0.41 | $7.00 | $0.21 | $20 | $700 | - | - | $6.79 | 4.4% | 1.5% | 10.1% | $7.48 | lynch (medium) | $7.48 | 5.3% | $6.36 | 9.2% | model | $13.10 | 92.8% | 1.40 | 136.1% | 23% | $7.11 | 0.63 | 59.2% | 69.8% | 0.85 | Technology | 2026-11-16 | Tier 3 | 53.7% | ILLIQUID | 241 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); -15.1% BELOW the 20-day - the average is overhead resistance now, not support; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-16, after expiry); below 50-day; IV under realized vol; wide spread | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.13 | NOK | C | C | RECLAIM | 0.30% | under | outside band | $10.39 | -0.4% | -2.6% | -8.5% | 17.11% | 0.33% | 1.32% | 0.12 | $9.50 | $0.05 | $5 | $950 | - | - | $9.45 | 8.7% | 8.2% | -9.2% | $8.58 | lynch (high) | $8.58 | -17.0% | $7.30 | -10.1% | model | $13.19 | 39.6% | 2.03 | 84.7% | 44% | $10.35 | 1.19 | 48.4% | 62.9% | 0.77 | Technology | unknown | Tier 2 | 40.0% | HOLD TO 80% | 56 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); slipped -0.4% under the 20-day ($10.39) and is coming back up (+2.4% over 2 sessions) - a strike ON the average would be in the money; RECLAIM setup but the strike at $10.39 is a 0.56-delta contract, over the 0.45 ceiling - the stock is already through its 20-day, so that strike is at or in the money; nothing quoted between delta 0.15 and 0.25 (chain ran 0.04 to 0.56) - showing the closest to delta 0.20 instead; pays 0.30%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; No earnings date published - unknown, not clear; IV under realized vol; wide spread; trades 17% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 2.08 | ET | C | C | BELOW | 0.30% | under | delta band | $20.97 | -4.5% | -2.2% | -7.0% | 15.83% | 0.30% | 1.22% | 0.22 | $19.50 | $0.10 | $10 | $1,950 | - | - | $19.41 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 79.8% | $34.89 | lynch (high) | $34.89 | 74.2% | $29.66 | 44.4% | model | $24.75 | 27.5% | 1.58 | 12.5% | 68% | $20.03 | 0.60 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 2.15 | Energy | 2026-11-03 | Tier 3 | 136.8% | ILLIQUID | 108 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); -4.5% BELOW the 20-day - the average is overhead resistance now, not support; pays 0.30%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-03, after expiry); below 50-day; wide spread; needs $1,950 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 1.92 | KO | B | B | UNDER | 0.30% | under | delta band | $88.04 | -0.8% | -0.9% | -3.4% | 16.06% | 0.31% | 1.24% | 0.22 | $85.00 | $0.42 | $42 | $8,500 | - | - | $84.58 | 3.1% | 2.6% | -55.2% | $37.86 | lynch (high) | $37.86 | -56.6% | $32.18 | -123.4% | model | $96.19 | 13.7% | 1.70 | 9.4% | 81% | $87.31 | 0.32 | 24.0% | 11.9% | 2.01 | Consumer Defensive | 2026-10-27 | Tier 3 | 57.1% | ILLIQUID | 212 | 9 | WEEKLY | NEWS (M): earnings/guidance date set, timing not stated - "The Coca-Cola Company Announces Timing…NEWS (M): earnings/guidance date set, timing not stated - "The Coca-Cola Company Announces Timing of Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release" (Yahoo 09-29); HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); slipped -0.8% under the 20-day ($88.04) and not coming back up yet (+0.1% over 2 sessions) - wait for the turn; pays 0.30%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-27, after expiry); below 50-day; wide spread; needs $8,500 - over your per-trade budget; trades 57% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 1.86 | DIS | B | B | UNDER | 0.31% | under | delta band | $105.60 | -0.1% | 2.0% | -3.4% | 16.57% | 0.32% | 1.27% | 0.20 | $102.00 | $0.52 | $52 | $10,200 | - | - | $101.48 | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | $102.08 | lynch (high) | $102.08 | -3.3% | $86.77 | 0.6% | model | $127.41 | 25.6% | 1.46 | 15.4% | 54% | $105.55 | 1.42 | 27.4% | 20.8% | 1.32 | Communication Services | 2026-11-11 | Tier 3 | 119.2% | ILLIQUID | 25 | 9 | WEEKLY | HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M)…HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); slipped -0.1% under the 20-day ($105.60) and not coming back up yet (-0.1% over 2 sessions) - wait for the turn; pays 0.31%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-11-11, after expiry); wide spread; needs $10,200 - over your per-trade budget; trades 3% ABOVE fair value | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
| 1.82 | SCHW | B | B | BELOW | 0.40% | under | delta band | $104.37 | -5.3% | -0.7% | -8.0% | 21.33% | 0.41% | 1.64% | 0.24 | $96.00 | $0.63 | $63 | $9,600 | - | - | $95.37 | 3.5% | 2.9% | 107.1% | $197.54 | lynch (high) | $197.54 | 99.9% | $167.91 | 51.7% | model | $124.63 | 30.7% | 1.62 | 20.1% | 49% | $98.82 | 0.78 | 27.9% | 26.4% | 1.06 | Financial | 2026-10-15 | Tier 3 | 73.0% | ILLIQUID | 267 | 9 | WEEKLY | NEWS (M): earnings/guidance date set, timing not stated - "Here's What to Expect From Charles…NEWS (M): earnings/guidance date set, timing not stated - "Here's What to Expect From Charles Schwab Corporation's Next Earnings Report" (Yahoo 09-29); HIGH-IMPACT EVENT BEFORE EXPIRY: PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H); -5.3% BELOW the 20-day - the average is overhead resistance now, not support; pays 0.40%/wk of the share price - UNDER the 0.80% target; Clear trade week (earnings 2026-10-15, after expiry); below 50-day; wide spread; needs $9,600 - over your per-trade budget | PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays for August) 09-30 (M); Jobs report (September) 10-02 (H) |
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Cost per share is your average price after subtracting premium you have already collected. A call is never suggested below it, because being assigned under your basis locks in a loss.
Click any column heading to sort. This file is self-contained: no network, no tracking, works offline.
Score | Diamond Score, 0-5. Weighted blend of the nine components in 'Diamond Score weights and targets' below. It ranks today's rows against each other; it is not a forecast. |
Ticker | Underlying. |
Quality | A / B / C among names that passed EVERY quality gate. A is least fragile on the five measures, not 'best stock'. Hover for the figures. |
Cat | Quality grade, or TACTICAL when the gates are off. |
Setup | The entry this sheet is built around, in three shapes. PRIME = above the 20-day and pulling back into it. BOUNCE = touched the 20-day and turning back up. RECLAIM = slipped just under it and coming back up (a strike ON the average is then in the money, so the delta band picks it). Not setups: NEAR = above it but not pulling back; UNDER = slipped under and not turning up yet - wait; EXTENDED = too far above; BELOW = well through it. |
Prem %/wk | Premium as a percent of the SHARE price per TRADING WEEK: Monday-to-Friday is 5 sessions and counts as exactly one week. This is the target number - not Annual ROI, which is measured against collateral and flatters far out-of-the-money strikes. |
Hits Tgt | Whether Prem %/wk clears the target in config.json (premium_target.weekly_pct_of_spot). 'mid only' means it clears at the mid but not at the bid you would actually be filled at. |
Pick | Which rule chose this strike. at_sma20 = placed on the 20-day average. delta_band = the safest strike in your delta band that still pays the target. outside_band = nothing was in your band, so this is the nearest delta instead. |
20-day | The 20-day simple moving average of daily closes. |
Px vs 20d | Where the stock sits against its 20-day. Positive = above it and would have to fall to reach it. Negative = already through it. |
5d Move | The stock's move over the last 5 sessions. Negative is the short-term pullback the PRIME setup requires. |
K vs 20d | Where the chosen strike sits against the 20-day. 0% means the strike IS the average; negative means the strike is below it, which is the safer side. |
Annual ROI | premium / strike per trading week (5 sessions), times 52 - one contract a week. |
Weekly | premium / strike for one trading week: x 5 / the contract's trading sessions. A Monday-to-Friday contract is exactly one week. |
Monthly | Weekly x 4 (Jerry's convention). |
Delta | Absolute delta of the chosen put, from the live greeks feed. |
Strike | Strike whose delta sits closest to the category target. |
Premium | Mid of bid/ask. You will not always get mid. |
Credit | Premium x 100, the cash collected per contract. |
Collateral | Strike x 100, the cash the put ties up until expiry. |
Contracts | How many you could sell with the capital you entered above. Recalculated as you type. |
Your Credit | Total premium for that many contracts, at the mid. You will not always get mid. |
Assign Basis | Strike - premium: real cost per share if assigned. |
Basis Disc | How far the assignment basis sits below today's price. |
Cushion | (price - strike) / price. How far it can fall before assignment. |
Bull Upside | From your assignment basis up to the fair value in use. Your number if you set one, else the model's. |
Fair Value | The fair value in use: your override if set, else the computed model. Hover the source badge. |
Source | manual = your overrides.json. lynch / forward_pe / blend = computed. Blank = the model had no earnings. |
Model FV | What the model says, shown even when you have overridden it, so you can see where you disagree. |
Val Gap | Fair value against today's price. Positive = trades below fair value. |
Entry Tgt | Your buy price. Yours if set, else fair value less the margin of safety in config.json. |
Basis vs FV | How far the assignment basis sits below fair value - the margin of safety you actually get. |
Analysis | When YOU last valued it (overrides.json). Blank = the number is the model's, not yours. |
Target | Analyst consensus price target (Finviz). Often wrong. |
Anlst Ups | From assignment basis up to the analyst consensus. |
Recom | Finviz analyst consensus: 1 = strong buy, 5 = strong sell. |
52w Upside | From assignment basis up to the 52-week high. |
52w Pos | Where price sits in its 52-week range (0=low, 100=high). |
Stock | Last trade. |
Beta | Finviz beta versus the market. |
IV% | Implied vol of the chosen put. |
RV% | 20-day realized vol, annualized. |
IV/RV | Above 1.0 = options priced richer than recent movement. |
Sector | Finviz sector. |
Earnings | Next earnings date (Finviz, else Finnhub). Blank means not published - unknown, not clear. |
Tier | Tier 1 calm+liquid, Tier 3 neither. |
Spread | Bid/ask spread as a percent of mid. |
Liquidity | OK / HOLD TO 80% / ILLIQUID. |
Vol | Contracts traded on the last session. |
DTE | Calendar days to expiry. The premium and ROI columns count TRADING sessions instead: Monday to Friday is 5 sessions, one week, even though it is only 4 calendar days. |
Contract | WEEKLY = this week's Friday, the contract the strategy writes. MONTHLY / OTHER = this name has no weekly this week, so the next expiry after it is shown instead - a longer trade, marked so it is never mistaken for a weekly. |
Notes | Why this row reads the way it does. |
Events | Anything else scheduled while the put is open: FOMC, CPI, the jobs report, PCE, company actions from Alpaca (dividends, splits, mergers, spin-offs) and any company event in events.csv. (H) = high impact. 'none scheduled' means the calendar covers the whole contract and it is empty; 'unknown' means the contract runs past the calendar. |
Score = 5 × the weighted sum of 9 components, each clamped to 0-1.
Edit config.json to change any of this. The weights are frozen while the score
study runs (study/PRE-REGISTRATION.md): changing one restarts that measurement.
| Component | Weight | Full marks (1.0) when |
|---|---|---|
yield | 14% | annual ROI (per trading week x 52) of 40.0% or more |
premium | 16% | premium of 0.8% of the SHARE price per trading week (the strategy's target) |
cushion | 14% | strike 12.0% or more below the stock price |
liquidity | 16% | a zero spread; scores 0 at a 50.0% bid/ask spread |
iv_premium | 10% | implied vol 1.5x realized or more; 0 when IV is at or under RV |
earnings_safety | 9% | earnings known and AFTER expiry; 0 if before expiry, 0.6 if the date is unknown |
setup | 10% | PRIME or BOUNCE; RECLAIM 0.85, NEAR 0.7, EXTENDED 0.35, UNDER 0.25, BELOW 0.15, unreadable chart 0.5 |
trend | 5% | price 5% or more above its 50-day; 0 at 5% below it |
valuation | 6% | assignment basis 20.0% or more under fair value; no usable fair value 0.5 |
The score ranks candidates against each other. It is not a prediction, and a high score is not a recommendation.
The rule that matters: a call is never sold below your cost basis,
because being assigned under your basis locks in a loss that a week of premium rarely covers.
When the target-delta strike sits under basis, the sheet walks UP to the first strike at or
above it and marks the row raised to basis. Set
allow_below_basis in config.json only if you actually want out of the position.
Score | Call Score, 0-5. Its own weights, in config.json under call_score_weights. |
Ticker | A holding from holdings.json. |
Shares | What you own. |
Contracts | shares // 100. Only whole hundreds can be called against. |
Cost Basis | Your basis per share, net of premiums already collected. |
Stock | Last trade. |
Unreal | Where the position sits against your basis. |
Call Strike | The strike to sell. Never below your basis unless you allowed it. |
Chosen | target = the delta you asked for. above-basis = the sheet walked UP to protect your basis. |
Delta | Absolute delta. Roughly the chance of being called away. |
Premium | Mid of bid/ask, per share. |
Credit | Total cash for all your contracts. |
Static ROI | Premium / stock price per trading week, x 52 (one call a week). What you make if it expires and the stock goes nowhere. |
If Called | Total return over your basis if assigned: capital gain to the strike PLUS the premium. |
Headroom | How far the strike sits above today's price before your upside caps. |
Downside | Premium as a percent of the share price - the cushion it buys. |
Breakeven | Share price less the premium. |
IV% | Implied vol of the chosen call. |
IV/RV | Above 1.0 = options priced richer than the stock moves. |
Earnings | Next earnings date. Blank means unknown, not clear. |
Tier | Tier 1 calm+liquid, Tier 3 neither. |
Spread | Bid/ask spread as a percent of mid. |
Liquidity | OK / HOLD TO 80% / ILLIQUID. |
DTE | Calendar days to expiry. The premium and ROI columns count TRADING sessions instead: Monday to Friday is 5 sessions, one week, even though it is only 4 calendar days. |
Notes | Why this row reads the way it does. |
overrides.json
always beats it. The analyst Target is consensus, not a view either.events.csv, up to the date the file says it covers. Company actions
(dividends, splits, mergers, spin-offs) come from Alpaca and are written into Notes. Company
news with no set date (an FDA decision, an investor day) appears only if you add it to
events.csv - there is no free feed for those. Past the calendar the column says
unknown, never clear.